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Thinking method · Senge, The Fifth Discipline

And then what?

Following consequences past the one you intended. Before changing an incentive, a rule, a price, or a metric.

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Following consequences past the one you intended.

The steps

  1. State the change and its intended first effect.
  2. Ask: who responds to this, and how?
  3. Ask "and then what?" again on that response.
  4. Ask it once more of that answer, which is usually where the surprise is.
  5. Check whether anything at step two or three undoes step one.

When to use it

Before changing an incentive, a rule, a price, or a metric.

What it will not do

Three steps out, you are guessing. Guessing on paper is still better than being surprised.

Where it comes from: Senge, The Fifth Discipline. Described in our own words.

The module it belongs to

  • Systems Thinking — Understand connections and consequences

Previous: Look for the leverage point

Next: Check what the measure will do

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