Guided technique · Thought work · 3–5 min
Fact or story?
Sorting a troubling thought: is it a fact, an interpretation, a prediction or an assumption?
Level: Beginner · Free — no account needed to read
Sorting a troubling thought: is it a fact, an interpretation, a prediction or an assumption?
Why it may help
Painful thoughts are often interpretations or predictions dressed up as facts. Seeing what kind of thought it is takes away some of its certainty.
When to use it
- you are overthinking something
- a thought feels certain and painful
- you are jumping to conclusions about what someone thinks
Helps with
- Overthinking
- Assumptions
- Jumping to conclusions
How to do it
- Write down the thought exactly as it sounds in your head.
- Ask: could anyone check this and agree? If yes, it is a fact. If it is a meaning I gave it, an interpretation.
- Ask: is it about the future (a prediction) or something I took as true without checking (an assumption)?
- For anything that isn’t a fact, write one other possible explanation.
What the evidence says
Practical technique: A widely used, low-risk practice drawn from established approaches, but not tested much on its own. Its value is mostly that it is simple and harmless to try.
- What was found
- Separating facts from interpretations and predictions is a core skill in cognitive therapy, which has strong evidence as a whole.
- What is uncertain
- This particular four-way sorting is a teaching tool and hasn’t been tested on its own.
- Who it may not suit
- Some painful thoughts are facts. When one is, the next step is support and problem solving, not arguing with it.
Where this comes from: Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) research.
Afterwards, ask yourself
What kind of thought was it, and how did knowing that change it?
Lessons behind this technique
- Fact, interpretation, prediction or assumption? — Four kinds of thought that feel identical from the inside — and one question that sorts them. (6 min · Beginner)
- Spotting your assumptions — Most conclusions rest on something we never checked. Finding it changes the conclusion. (6 min · Beginner)
If you need more support
- When self-help isn’t enough — Signs it is time to talk to someone, and who you can talk to.